If BOS visited LAC today, our model would lean Boston Celtics with a 61.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -4.5 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

9.4

Net Rating

4.9

119.5

Offensive Rating

114.3

110.1

Defensive Rating

109.4

96.6

Pace

98.2

BOS (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

BOS wins

2026-01-03 BOS 146 @ LAC 115 BOS W

2025-11-16 BOS 118 @ LAC 121 LAC W

2025-01-22 BOS 117 @ LAC 113 BOS W

2024-11-25 BOS 94 @ LAC 126 LAC W

2024-01-27 BOS 115 @ LAC 96 BOS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 61.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score