If BKN visited CLE today, our model would lean Cleveland Cavaliers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +16.5 points for CLE at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

9.2

108.1

Offensive Rating

121.0

115.4

Defensive Rating

111.8

96.7

Pace

100.3

BKN (Away) CLE (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

CLE 60-40 L4 Avg margin last 5: -9.2

L NYK

W DET

Head-to-Head History

CLE wins

BKN wins

2026-03-01 BKN 106 @ CLE 102 BKN W

2026-02-19 BKN 84 @ CLE 112 CLE W

2025-10-24 BKN 131 @ CLE 124 BKN W

2025-03-11 BKN 104 @ CLE 109 CLE W

2025-02-20 BKN 110 @ CLE 97 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score