If BKN visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +9.4 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

2.1

108.1

Offensive Rating

114.6

115.4

Defensive Rating

112.5

96.7

Pace

100.3

BKN (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

BKN wins

2026-03-10 BKN 138 @ DET 100 BKN W

2026-03-07 BKN 107 @ DET 105 BKN W

2026-02-01 BKN 77 @ DET 130 DET W

2025-11-07 BKN 125 @ DET 107 BKN W

2025-03-01 BKN 94 @ DET 115 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score