If BKN visited MEM today, our model would lean Memphis Grizzlies with a 63.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +12.0 points for MEM at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

4.7

108.1

Offensive Rating

117.2

115.4

Defensive Rating

112.6

96.7

Pace

103.7

BKN (Away) MEM (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

MEM 25-57 L8 Avg margin last 5: -25.2

L HOU

L UTA

L DEN

L CLE

L MIL

Head-to-Head History

MEM wins

BKN wins

2026-03-09 BKN 115 @ MEM 126 MEM W

2026-01-11 BKN 98 @ MEM 103 MEM W

2024-12-13 BKN 119 @ MEM 135 MEM W

2024-11-04 BKN 104 @ MEM 106 MEM W

2024-10-30 BKN 119 @ MEM 106 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score