If BKN visited ORL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.1 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-0.2

108.1

Offensive Rating

108.9

115.4

Defensive Rating

109.1

96.7

Pace

96.5

BKN (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

BKN wins

2026-02-05 BKN 98 @ ORL 118 ORL W

2026-01-07 BKN 104 @ ORL 103 BKN W

2025-11-14 BKN 98 @ ORL 105 ORL W

2024-12-29 BKN 101 @ ORL 102 ORL W

2024-12-01 BKN 100 @ ORL 92 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score