If BKN visited PHX today, our model would lean Phoenix Suns with a 82.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.3 points for PHX at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-3.0

108.1

Offensive Rating

114.7

115.4

Defensive Rating

117.7

96.7

Pace

98.3

BKN (Away) PHX (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

Head-to-Head History

PHX wins

BKN wins

2026-01-27 BKN 102 @ PHX 106 PHX W

2026-01-19 BKN 126 @ PHX 117 BKN W

2025-01-22 BKN 108 @ PHX 84 BKN W

2024-11-27 BKN 127 @ PHX 117 BKN W

2024-01-31 BKN 136 @ PHX 120 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 82.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score