If BKN visited WAS today, our model would lean Washington Wizards with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -4.9 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-12.2

108.1

Offensive Rating

105.8

115.4

Defensive Rating

118.0

96.7

Pace

101.8

BKN (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

BKN wins

2026-04-05 BKN 115 @ WAS 121 WAS W

2026-02-07 BKN 113 @ WAS 127 WAS W

2026-01-02 BKN 99 @ WAS 119 WAS W

2025-11-16 BKN 129 @ WAS 106 BKN W

2025-03-29 BKN 115 @ WAS 112 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score