If CHI visited LAL today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +2.8 points for LAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

1.2

113.2

Offensive Rating

115.0

114.8

Defensive Rating

113.8

103.6

Pace

98.3

CHI (Away) LAL (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

Head-to-Head History

LAL wins

CHI wins

2026-03-12 CHI 130 @ LAL 142 LAL W

2026-01-26 CHI 129 @ LAL 118 CHI W

2025-03-27 CHI 117 @ LAL 119 LAL W

2025-03-22 CHI 146 @ LAL 115 CHI W

2024-01-25 CHI 132 @ LAL 141 LAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score