If CHI visited ORL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.4 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

-0.2

113.2

Offensive Rating

108.9

114.8

Defensive Rating

109.1

103.6

Pace

96.5

CHI (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

CHI wins

2026-04-10 CHI 127 @ ORL 103 CHI W

2026-01-02 CHI 114 @ ORL 121 ORL W

2025-12-01 CHI 120 @ ORL 125 ORL W

2025-10-25 CHI 110 @ ORL 98 CHI W

2025-03-06 CHI 125 @ ORL 123 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score