If CLE visited BKN today, our model would lean Cleveland Cavaliers with a 83.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -16.5 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

9.2

Net Rating

-7.3

121.0

Offensive Rating

108.1

111.8

Defensive Rating

115.4

100.3

Pace

96.7

CLE (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

CLE 60-40 L4 Avg margin last 5: -9.2

L NYK

W DET

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

CLE wins

2026-03-01 CLE 106 @ BKN 102 CLE W

2026-02-19 CLE 84 @ BKN 112 BKN W

2025-10-24 CLE 131 @ BKN 124 CLE W

2025-03-11 CLE 104 @ BKN 109 BKN W

2025-02-20 CLE 110 @ BKN 97 CLE W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 83.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score