If DAL visited BKN today, our model would lean Dallas Mavericks with a 61.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.0 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.3

Net Rating

-7.3

113.7

Offensive Rating

108.1

115.0

Defensive Rating

115.4

100.2

Pace

96.7

DAL (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

DAL wins

2026-02-24 DAL 123 @ BKN 114 DAL W

2026-01-12 DAL 105 @ BKN 113 BKN W

2025-12-12 DAL 111 @ BKN 119 BKN W

2025-03-31 DAL 113 @ BKN 109 DAL W

2025-03-24 DAL 120 @ BKN 101 DAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 61.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score