If DET visited BKN today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 77.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -9.4 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.1

Net Rating

-7.3

114.6

Offensive Rating

108.1

112.5

Defensive Rating

115.4

100.3

Pace

96.7

DET (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

DET wins

2026-03-10 DET 138 @ BKN 100 DET W

2026-03-07 DET 107 @ BKN 105 DET W

2026-02-01 DET 77 @ BKN 130 BKN W

2025-11-07 DET 125 @ BKN 107 DET W

2025-03-01 DET 94 @ BKN 115 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 77.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score