If DET visited NOP today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.5 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.1

Net Rating

-9.4

114.6

Offensive Rating

109.7

112.5

Defensive Rating

119.1

100.3

Pace

99.8

DET (Away) NOP (Home)

Recent Form

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

DET wins

2026-03-26 DET 108 @ NOP 129 NOP W

2026-01-21 DET 112 @ NOP 104 DET W

2025-03-23 DET 130 @ NOP 136 NOP W

2025-03-17 DET 127 @ NOP 81 DET W

2024-03-24 DET 114 @ NOP 101 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score