If LAC visited IND today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 73.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -2.8 points for IND at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

2.1

114.3

Offensive Rating

115.4

109.4

Defensive Rating

113.3

98.2

Pace

100.8

LAC (Away) IND (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

IND 19-63 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.6

L DET

L PHI

W BKN

L MIN

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

IND wins

LAC wins

2026-03-27 LAC 114 @ IND 113 LAC W

2026-03-04 LAC 107 @ IND 130 IND W

2025-02-23 LAC 111 @ IND 129 IND W

2025-02-06 LAC 119 @ IND 112 LAC W

2024-03-25 LAC 133 @ IND 116 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score