If LAC visited ORL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.1 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-0.2

114.3

Offensive Rating

108.9

109.4

Defensive Rating

109.1

98.2

Pace

96.5

LAC (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

LAC wins

2026-02-22 LAC 111 @ ORL 109 LAC W

2025-11-20 LAC 101 @ ORL 129 ORL W

2025-03-31 LAC 96 @ ORL 87 LAC W

2024-11-20 LAC 93 @ ORL 104 ORL W

2024-03-29 LAC 100 @ ORL 97 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score