If LAC visited WAS today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -17.1 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-12.2

114.3

Offensive Rating

105.8

109.4

Defensive Rating

118.0

98.2

Pace

101.8

LAC (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

LAC wins

2026-01-19 LAC 110 @ WAS 106 LAC W

2026-01-14 LAC 105 @ WAS 119 WAS W

2025-01-23 LAC 93 @ WAS 110 WAS W

2024-11-27 LAC 121 @ WAS 96 LAC W

2024-03-01 LAC 115 @ WAS 140 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score