If LAL visited DET today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +0.9 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

2.1

115.0

Offensive Rating

114.6

113.8

Defensive Rating

112.5

98.3

Pace

100.3

LAL (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

LAL wins

2026-03-23 LAL 110 @ DET 113 DET W

2025-12-30 LAL 128 @ DET 106 LAL W

2024-12-23 LAL 117 @ DET 114 LAL W

2024-11-04 LAL 103 @ DET 115 DET W

2024-02-13 LAL 111 @ DET 125 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score