If LAL visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.7 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

4.9

115.0

Offensive Rating

114.3

113.8

Defensive Rating

109.4

98.3

Pace

98.2

LAL (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

LAL wins

2026-02-20 LAL 122 @ LAC 125 LAC W

2026-01-22 LAL 104 @ LAC 112 LAC W

2025-12-20 LAL 88 @ LAC 103 LAC W

2025-11-25 LAL 118 @ LAC 135 LAC W

2025-03-02 LAL 102 @ LAC 108 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score