If LAL visited WAS today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -13.4 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

-12.2

115.0

Offensive Rating

105.8

113.8

Defensive Rating

118.0

98.3

Pace

101.8

LAL (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

LAL wins

2026-03-30 LAL 101 @ WAS 120 WAS W

2026-01-30 LAL 142 @ WAS 111 LAL W

2025-01-30 LAL 134 @ WAS 96 LAL W

2025-01-21 LAL 88 @ WAS 111 WAS W

2024-04-03 LAL 125 @ WAS 120 LAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score