If MEM visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +0.2 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.7

Net Rating

4.9

117.2

Offensive Rating

114.3

112.6

Defensive Rating

109.4

103.7

Pace

98.2

MEM (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

MEM 25-57 L8 Avg margin last 5: -25.2

L HOU

L UTA

L DEN

L CLE

L MIL

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

MEM wins

2026-03-07 MEM 123 @ LAC 120 MEM W

2025-12-15 MEM 121 @ LAC 103 MEM W

2025-12-05 MEM 98 @ LAC 107 LAC W

2025-11-28 MEM 112 @ LAC 107 MEM W

2025-03-21 MEM 108 @ LAC 128 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score