If NOP visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +11.5 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.4

Net Rating

2.1

109.7

Offensive Rating

114.6

119.1

Defensive Rating

112.5

99.8

Pace

100.3

NOP (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

NOP wins

2026-03-26 NOP 108 @ DET 129 DET W

2026-01-21 NOP 112 @ DET 104 NOP W

2025-03-23 NOP 130 @ DET 136 DET W

2025-03-17 NOP 127 @ DET 81 NOP W

2024-03-24 NOP 114 @ DET 101 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score