If NYK visited BKN today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 82.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.3 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-7.3

117.3

Offensive Rating

108.1

113.3

Defensive Rating

115.4

97.6

Pace

96.7

NYK (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

NYK wins

2026-03-20 NYK 93 @ BKN 92 NYK W

2026-01-21 NYK 66 @ BKN 120 BKN W

2025-11-24 NYK 113 @ BKN 100 NYK W

2025-11-09 NYK 98 @ BKN 134 BKN W

2025-04-13 NYK 113 @ BKN 105 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 82.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score