If NYK visited MIN today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.0 points for MIN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

5.0

117.3

Offensive Rating

115.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

110.8

97.6

Pace

98.0

NYK (Away) MIN (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

MIN 55-39 L2 Avg margin last 5: -19.8

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

MIN wins

NYK wins

2025-12-23 NYK 104 @ MIN 115 MIN W

2025-11-05 NYK 114 @ MIN 137 MIN W

2025-01-17 NYK 116 @ MIN 99 NYK W

2024-12-19 NYK 133 @ MIN 107 NYK W

2024-01-01 NYK 106 @ MIN 112 MIN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score