If NYK visited PHI today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -10.3 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-6.3

117.3

Offensive Rating

111.0

113.3

Defensive Rating

117.3

97.6

Pace

98.1

NYK (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

NYK wins

2026-05-10 NYK 144 @ PHI 114 NYK W

2026-05-08 NYK 108 @ PHI 94 NYK W

2026-05-06 NYK 102 @ PHI 108 PHI W

2026-05-04 NYK 98 @ PHI 137 PHI W

2026-02-11 NYK 138 @ PHI 89 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score