NBAANALYTICS Today's Picks
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These teams play today!

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs โ€” see Today's Picks for live odds & edge analysis.

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
AI Prediction & Odds Analysis

NYK
New York Knicks
65-31 W11
+4.0 NRT
at
@
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
75-26 W3
-2.8 NRT

Tonight's AI Pick

AI Pick
SAS SAS
Model Spread
SAS -2.0
Win Prob.
58.2%
Our XGBoost model gives San Antonio Spurs a 58.2% win probability tonight based on a net rating advantage of -6.8 points for SAS at home.

Prediction based on current season ratings & ELO. Updated daily. Not financial advice โ€” bet responsibly.

Team Stats Comparison

2025โ€“26 Season
4.0
Net Rating
-2.8
117.3
Offensive Rating
113.5
113.3
Defensive Rating
116.3
97.6
Pace
100.1
NYK (Away) SAS (Home)

Recent Form

NYK NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4
W CLE
W CLE
W CLE
W CLE
W PHI
SAS SAS 75-26 W3 Avg margin last 5: +10.2
W OKC
W OKC
W OKC
L OKC
W OKC

Head-to-Head History

4
SAS wins
6
NYK wins
2026-03-01 NYK 89 @ SAS 114 SAS W
2025-12-31 NYK 132 @ SAS 134 SAS W
2025-03-19 NYK 105 @ SAS 120 SAS W
2024-12-25 NYK 114 @ SAS 117 SAS W
2024-03-29 NYK 126 @ SAS 130 SAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made โ€” not specific to this matchup.

67.1%
All Games
7146 tracked
75.1%
High Conf.
>65% picks
80.0%
Last 50
recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier โ€” a 58.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score

Explore More

NYK
New York Knicks
All predictions & analysis →
 SAS
San Antonio Spurs
All predictions & analysis →
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