If ORL visited BKN today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.1 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-0.2

Net Rating

-7.3

108.9

Offensive Rating

108.1

109.1

Defensive Rating

115.4

96.5

Pace

96.7

ORL (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

ORL wins

2026-02-05 ORL 98 @ BKN 118 BKN W

2026-01-07 ORL 104 @ BKN 103 ORL W

2025-11-14 ORL 98 @ BKN 105 BKN W

2024-12-29 ORL 101 @ BKN 102 BKN W

2024-12-01 ORL 100 @ BKN 92 ORL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score