If ORL visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 58.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.1 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-0.2

Net Rating

4.9

108.9

Offensive Rating

114.3

109.1

Defensive Rating

109.4

96.5

Pace

98.2

ORL (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

ORL wins

2026-02-22 ORL 111 @ LAC 109 ORL W

2025-11-20 ORL 101 @ LAC 129 LAC W

2025-03-31 ORL 96 @ LAC 87 ORL W

2024-11-20 ORL 93 @ LAC 104 LAC W

2024-03-29 ORL 100 @ LAC 97 ORL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 58.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score