If PHI visited BKN today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 77.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -1.0 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

-7.3

111.0

Offensive Rating

108.1

117.3

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.1

Pace

96.7

PHI (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

PHI wins

2026-03-14 PHI 97 @ BKN 104 BKN W

2025-12-23 PHI 114 @ BKN 106 PHI W

2025-11-28 PHI 115 @ BKN 103 PHI W

2025-11-02 PHI 129 @ BKN 105 PHI W

2025-02-22 PHI 105 @ BKN 103 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 77.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score