If PHI visited CHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.7 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

-1.6

111.0

Offensive Rating

113.2

117.3

Defensive Rating

114.8

98.1

Pace

103.6

PHI (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

PHI wins

2026-03-25 PHI 137 @ CHI 157 CHI W

2025-12-26 PHI 102 @ CHI 109 CHI W

2025-11-04 PHI 111 @ CHI 113 CHI W

2025-04-13 PHI 122 @ CHI 102 PHI W

2025-02-24 PHI 142 @ CHI 110 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score