If PHI visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +11.2 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

4.9

111.0

Offensive Rating

114.3

117.3

Defensive Rating

109.4

98.1

Pace

98.2

PHI (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

PHI wins

2026-02-02 PHI 128 @ LAC 113 PHI W

2025-11-17 PHI 108 @ LAC 110 LAC W

2024-11-24 PHI 125 @ LAC 99 PHI W

2024-11-06 PHI 98 @ LAC 110 LAC W

2024-03-27 PHI 108 @ LAC 107 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score