If PHI visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +10.3 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

4.0

111.0

Offensive Rating

117.3

Defensive Rating

113.3

98.1

Pace

97.6

PHI (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

PHI wins

2026-05-10 PHI 144 @ NYK 114 PHI W

2026-05-08 PHI 108 @ NYK 94 PHI W

2026-05-06 PHI 102 @ NYK 108 NYK W

2026-05-04 PHI 98 @ NYK 137 NYK W

2026-02-11 PHI 138 @ NYK 89 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score