If PHI visited WAS today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.9 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

-12.2

111.0

Offensive Rating

105.8

117.3

Defensive Rating

118.0

98.1

Pace

101.8

PHI (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

PHI wins

2026-04-01 PHI 153 @ WAS 131 PHI W

2026-01-07 PHI 110 @ WAS 131 WAS W

2025-12-02 PHI 102 @ WAS 121 WAS W

2025-10-28 PHI 139 @ WAS 134 PHI W

2025-04-09 PHI 122 @ WAS 103 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score