If PHX visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.0 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-3.0

Net Rating

4.0

114.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

117.7

Defensive Rating

113.3

98.3

Pace

97.6

PHX (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

PHX wins

2026-01-17 PHX 106 @ NYK 99 PHX W

2026-01-09 PHX 107 @ NYK 112 NYK W

2025-04-06 PHX 98 @ NYK 112 NYK W

2024-11-20 PHX 138 @ NYK 122 PHX W

2023-12-15 PHX 139 @ NYK 122 PHX W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score