If POR visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.6 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.7

Net Rating

4.9

111.0

Offensive Rating

114.3

113.7

Defensive Rating

109.4

99.5

Pace

98.2

POR (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

POR wins

2026-04-10 POR 97 @ LAC 116 LAC W

2026-03-31 POR 114 @ LAC 104 POR W

2025-12-26 POR 119 @ LAC 103 POR W

2025-10-26 POR 107 @ LAC 114 LAC W

2025-01-16 POR 118 @ LAC 89 POR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score