If SAC visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.9 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

0.6

Net Rating

-6.3

115.9

Offensive Rating

111.0

115.3

Defensive Rating

117.3

98.9

Pace

98.1

SAC (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

SAC wins

2026-03-19 SAC 139 @ PHI 118 SAC W

2026-01-29 SAC 111 @ PHI 113 PHI W

2025-01-29 SAC 104 @ PHI 117 PHI W

2025-01-01 SAC 107 @ PHI 113 PHI W

2024-03-25 SAC 96 @ PHI 108 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score