If SAS visited LAC today, our model would lean San Antonio Spurs with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.7 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.8

Net Rating

4.9

113.5

Offensive Rating

114.3

116.3

Defensive Rating

109.4

100.1

Pace

98.2

SAS (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

SAS 75-26 W3 Avg margin last 5: +10.2

W OKC

L OKC

W OKC

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

SAS wins

2026-04-02 SAS 118 @ LAC 99 SAS W

2026-03-16 SAS 119 @ LAC 115 SAS W

2026-03-06 SAS 112 @ LAC 116 LAC W

2025-04-08 SAS 117 @ LAC 122 LAC W

2025-01-29 SAS 128 @ LAC 116 SAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score