If TOR visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +9.0 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-4.1

Net Rating

4.9

109.6

Offensive Rating

114.3

113.6

Defensive Rating

109.4

100.6

Pace

98.2

TOR (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

TOR wins

2026-03-25 TOR 94 @ LAC 119 LAC W

2026-01-16 TOR 121 @ LAC 117 TOR W

2025-02-02 TOR 108 @ LAC 115 LAC W

2024-11-09 TOR 103 @ LAC 105 LAC W

2024-01-26 TOR 127 @ LAC 107 TOR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score