If TOR visited LAL today, our model would lean Toronto Raptors with a 61.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.3 points for LAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-4.1

Net Rating

1.2

109.6

Offensive Rating

115.0

113.6

Defensive Rating

113.8

100.6

Pace

98.3

TOR (Away) LAL (Home)

Recent Form

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

Head-to-Head History

LAL wins

TOR wins

2026-01-18 TOR 93 @ LAL 110 LAL W

2025-12-04 TOR 123 @ LAL 120 TOR W

2024-11-10 TOR 103 @ LAL 123 LAL W

2024-11-01 TOR 131 @ LAL 125 TOR W

2024-04-02 TOR 128 @ LAL 111 TOR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 61.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score