If TOR visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +8.1 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-4.1

Net Rating

4.0

109.6

Offensive Rating

117.3

113.6

Defensive Rating

113.3

100.6

Pace

97.6

TOR (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

TOR wins

2026-04-10 TOR 95 @ NYK 112 NYK W

2026-03-03 TOR 111 @ NYK 95 TOR W

2026-01-28 TOR 119 @ NYK 92 TOR W

2025-12-09 TOR 117 @ NYK 101 TOR W

2025-11-30 TOR 94 @ NYK 116 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score