If UTA visited BOS today, our model would lean Boston Celtics with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +18.6 points for BOS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

9.4

110.2

Offensive Rating

119.5

119.4

Defensive Rating

110.1

100.8

Pace

96.6

UTA (Away) BOS (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

BOS wins

UTA wins

2025-12-30 UTA 129 @ BOS 119 UTA W

2025-11-03 UTA 105 @ BOS 103 UTA W

2025-03-21 UTA 121 @ BOS 99 UTA W

2025-03-10 UTA 108 @ BOS 114 BOS W

2024-03-12 UTA 123 @ BOS 107 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score