If UTA visited BKN today, our model would lean Brooklyn Nets with a 58.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.9 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-7.3

110.2

Offensive Rating

108.1

119.4

Defensive Rating

115.4

100.8

Pace

96.7

UTA (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

UTA wins

2026-01-30 UTA 109 @ BKN 99 UTA W

2025-12-04 UTA 123 @ BKN 110 UTA W

2025-01-12 UTA 111 @ BKN 112 BKN W

2024-12-21 UTA 105 @ BKN 94 UTA W

2024-01-29 UTA 114 @ BKN 147 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 58.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score