If UTA visited CHA today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +0.1 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-9.1

110.2

Offensive Rating

106.7

119.4

Defensive Rating

115.7

100.8

Pace

98.2

UTA (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

UTA wins

2026-01-10 UTA 150 @ CHA 95 UTA W

2025-11-02 UTA 103 @ CHA 126 CHA W

2025-03-31 UTA 106 @ CHA 110 CHA W

2025-01-15 UTA 117 @ CHA 112 UTA W

2024-02-22 UTA 115 @ CHA 107 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score