If UTA visited CHI today, our model would lean Chicago Bulls with a 67.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.6 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-1.6

110.2

Offensive Rating

113.2

119.4

Defensive Rating

114.8

100.8

Pace

103.6

UTA (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

UTA wins

2026-01-14 UTA 126 @ CHI 128 CHI W

2025-11-16 UTA 147 @ CHI 150 CHI W

2025-03-17 UTA 111 @ CHI 97 UTA W

2024-11-04 UTA 135 @ CHI 126 UTA W

2024-03-06 UTA 119 @ CHI 117 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 67.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score