If UTA visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +14.1 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

4.9

110.2

Offensive Rating

114.3

119.4

Defensive Rating

109.4

100.8

Pace

98.2

UTA (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

UTA wins

2026-01-27 UTA 115 @ LAC 103 UTA W

2026-01-01 UTA 101 @ LAC 118 LAC W

2025-10-22 UTA 108 @ LAC 129 LAC W

2025-02-13 UTA 120 @ LAC 116 UTA W

2025-02-08 UTA 110 @ LAC 130 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score