If UTA visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +13.2 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

4.0

110.2

Offensive Rating

117.3

119.4

Defensive Rating

113.3

100.8

Pace

97.6

UTA (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

UTA wins

2026-03-11 UTA 134 @ NYK 117 UTA W

2025-12-05 UTA 112 @ NYK 146 NYK W

2025-01-01 UTA 103 @ NYK 119 NYK W

2024-11-23 UTA 106 @ NYK 121 NYK W

2024-01-30 UTA 103 @ NYK 118 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score