If WAS visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +16.2 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

4.0

105.8

Offensive Rating

117.3

118.0

Defensive Rating

113.3

101.8

Pace

97.6

WAS (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

WAS wins

2026-03-22 WAS 113 @ NYK 145 NYK W

2026-02-03 WAS 132 @ NYK 101 WAS W

2025-11-03 WAS 102 @ NYK 119 NYK W

2025-03-22 WAS 103 @ NYK 122 NYK W

2024-12-30 WAS 126 @ NYK 106 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score