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Miami Heat

AI Predictions & Picks — 2025-26 Season

Net +0.4 Off 112.4 / Def 112.0

Current Season Ratings

Net Rating
+0.4
Per 100 possessions
Off Rating
112.4
Points scored / 100
Def Rating
112.0
Points allowed / 100

Updated daily from NBA Stats API. Net rating is the best single predictor of game outcomes.

Recent Results

W 2026-04-12 vs ATL 143–117
W 2026-04-10 @ WAS 140–117
L 2026-04-09 @ TOR 114–128
L 2026-04-07 @ TOR 95–121
W 2026-04-04 vs WAS 152–136
L 2026-04-01 vs BOS 129–147
W 2026-03-30 vs PHI 119–109
L 2026-03-29 @ IND 118–135

MIA vs Every NBA Team — AI Predictions

Click any matchup for full spread analysis, net rating comparison, and head-to-head history.

OKC
OKC
+12.7 NRT
BOS
BOS
+9.4 NRT
CLE
CLE
+9.2 NRT
MIN
MIN
+5.0 NRT
LAC
LAC
+4.9 NRT
MEM
MEM
+4.7 NRT
HOU
HOU
+4.6 NRT
NYK
NYK
+4.0 NRT
DEN
DEN
+3.8 NRT
GSW
GSW
+3.2 NRT
MIL
MIL
+2.4 NRT
IND
IND
+2.1 NRT
DET
DET
+2.1 NRT
LAL
LAL
+1.2 NRT
SAC
SAC
+0.6 NRT
ORL
ORL
-0.2 NRT
ATL
ATL
-1.1 NRT
DAL
DAL
-1.3 NRT
CHI
CHI
-1.6 NRT
POR
POR
-2.7 NRT
SAS
SAS
-2.8 NRT
PHX
PHX
-3.0 NRT
TOR
TOR
-4.1 NRT
PHI
PHI
-6.3 NRT
BKN
BKN
-7.3 NRT
CHA
CHA
-9.1 NRT
UTA
UTA
-9.2 NRT
NOP
NOP
-9.4 NRT
WAS
WAS
-12.2 NRT

How Our MIA Predictions Work

Our XGBoost model is trained on seasons of NBA data. For every Miami Heat game, it calculates the net rating differential — the strongest predictor of game outcomes — and converts it to a win probability and implied spread. When that model spread differs from Vegas by more than 3 points, we flag it as a high-confidence pick. See our track record and check today's picks for live games.

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